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Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Scotland Premiership

Celtic Celtic
VS
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock

11月 8, 2026 at 17:00 · Celtic Park

Upcoming

Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)
Confidence 93%

Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction and betting tip for this Scotland Premiership match, kicking off 11月 8, 2026 at 17:00 at Celtic Park. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.05), 93% confidence.

More tips for this match
  • Over 1.5 Goals Upcoming
  • Home Win Upcoming

Celtic vs Kilmarnock Preview

Celtic host Kilmarnock in the Scotland Premiership (matchday 13) on 日曜日 8 11月 2026, kick-off 17:00 GMT+0100 at Celtic Park in Glasgow.

Celtic are 1st in the table with 28 points from 12 games (9-1-2), while Kilmarnock sit 11th on 9 points. Celtic have a 19-point advantage. At home Celtic have won 4 of 6; Kilmarnock have won 1 of 6 on the road.

Celtic have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-D-L), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Kilmarnock have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-D), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Celtic have won 6, Kilmarnock 0, with 0 draws and an average of 4.5 goals per game. The most recent, in 8月 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1-5 Celtic.

Celtic average 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Kilmarnock average 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Players to watch: C. Durán leads Celtic's scoring with 7 goals and 5 assists; G. Kiltie leads Kilmarnock's scoring with 3 goals.

Bookmakers make Celtic the favourites: Celtic 1.17, draw 8.00, Kilmarnock 12.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.28 and under at 3.75. Both teams to score: yes 1.75, no 2.00.

Our prediction: Celtic or draw (1X). The model gives Celtic or a draw a 100% chance, Celtic have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 10 places above Kilmarnock.

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic12912+1728
11Kilmarnock12237-159

Season stats

CelticKilmarnock
Played1212
Won / Drawn / Lost9 / 1 / 22 / 3 / 7
Goals scored (per game)27 (2.3)13 (1.1)
Goals conceded (per game)10 (0.8)28 (2.3)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.5 / 2.01.2 / 1.0
Clean sheets42
Failed to score24
Longest winning run61
Biggest win7-13-2
Usual formation4-2-3-14-2-3-1

Top scorers

Celtic
  • C. Durán 7 goals · 5 assists
  • B. Nygren 6 goals · 4 assists
  • K. Høgh 3 goals · 3 assists
Kilmarnock
  • G. Kiltie 3 goals · 0 assists

Odds (Bet365)

Celtic1.17 Draw8.00 Kilmarnock12.00 1X1.05 121.08 X25.00 Over 1.51.07 Under 1.59.00 Over 3.51.67 Under 3.52.20 Over 2.51.28 Under 2.53.75 BTTS Yes1.75 BTTS No2.00

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 7 11月 2026, 13:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Model probabilities

Expected goals 3.35 – 0.92 · most likely score 3-0 · data quality 82/100

Market Model
Celtic win 83.1%
Draw 10.4%
Kilmarnock win 6.5%
Home or draw (1X) 93.5%
Away or draw (X2) 16.9%
Over 1.5 goals 92.6%
Over 2.5 goals 79.8%
Under 2.5 goals 20.2%
Under 3.5 goals 38.4%
Both teams to score 57.8%

For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 50%, draw 50%, away 0%.

Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 11月 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

Celtic 50% Draw 50% Kilmarnock 0%

Our tip: Celtic or draw (1X) — The model gives Celtic or a draw a 100% chance, Celtic have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 10 places above Kilmarnock.

Form (last 5)

Celtic WWWDL 2.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Kilmarnock LWLLD 1.4 scored · 2.6 conceded per game

Team comparison

CelticKilmarnock
71% 29% Form
65% 35% Attack
68% 32% Defence
85% 15% Poisson
100% 0% Head-to-head
79% 21% Goals
74% 26% Overall

Head-to-head

6 Celtic wins 0 draws 0 Kilmarnock wins last 6 meetings

  • Kilmarnock1 - 5Celtic Premiership
  • Kilmarnock2 - 3Celtic Premiership
  • Celtic4 - 0Kilmarnock Premiership
  • Kilmarnock1 - 2Celtic Premiership
  • Celtic5 - 1Kilmarnock Premiership
  • Celtic2 - 1Kilmarnock FA Cup

Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 11月 2026, 13:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).