Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
11月 6, 2026 at 18:30 · Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden
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Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction and betting tip for this Germany: 2. Bundesliga match, kicking off 11月 6, 2026 at 18:30 at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.16), 82% confidence.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Preview
Dynamo Dresden host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the Germany 2. Bundesliga (matchday 11) on 金曜日 6 11月 2026, kick-off 18:30 GMT+0100 at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion in Dresden. Michael Bacher is the referee.
Dynamo Dresden are 18th in the table with 8 points from 10 games (2-2-6), while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 9th on 12 points. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have a 4-point advantage. At home Dynamo Dresden have won 2 of 4; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 1 of 5 on the road.
Dynamo Dresden have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-L-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-L-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Dynamo Dresden have won 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3, with 2 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in 1月 2026, finished Dynamo Dresden 2-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Dynamo Dresden average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. SpVgg Greuther Fürth average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
Players to watch: F. Klaus leads SpVgg Greuther Fürth's scoring with 7 goals and 1 assist.
Line-ups are in: Dynamo Dresden line up in a 4-2-3-1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in a 4-2-3-1.
Bookmakers make Dynamo Dresden the favourites: Dynamo Dresden 1.91, draw 3.60, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.4 goals a game.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
Season stats
| Dynamo Dresden | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 12 (1.2) | 13 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (2.0) | 16 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- F. Klaus 7 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Starting line-ups
L. Grill, J. Sterner, N. Rapp, A. Muhamedbegović, S. Straudi, R. Wagner, T. Raschl, P. Čović, N. Hauptmann, B. Bobzien, V. Vermeij
Coach: Thomas Stamm
Florian Hellstern, J. Dehm, J. Heuer, Hendry Aron Blank, G. Itter, S. Bansé, P. Will, F. Klaus, S. Appelkamp, Ole Pohlmann, O. Sillah
Coach: H. Vogel
Data: API-Football · updated 6 11月 2026, 18:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.95 – 1.16 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden win | 55.6% |
| Draw | 21.9% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth win | 22.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 77.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 44.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62.2% |
| Both teams to score | 59.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 11月 2026, 17:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.4 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Dynamo Dresden
LDWLL
1.0 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DLWLW
1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Dynamo Dresden wins 2 draws 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins last 6 meetings
- Dynamo Dresden2 - 0SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. Bundesliga
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth3 - 2Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
- Dynamo Dresden1 - 1SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
- SpVgg Greuther Furth2 - 0Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
- SpVgg Greuther Furth0 - 0Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
- Dynamo Dresden0 - 1SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 11月 2026, 14:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
