Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
11月 9, 2026 at 19:00 · Kristiansund Stadion
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Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga prediction and betting tip for this Norway Eliteserien match, kicking off 11月 9, 2026 at 19:00 at Kristiansund Stadion. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.10), 86% confidence.
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga Preview
Kristiansund BK host Valerenga in the Norway Eliteserien (matchday 26) on 月曜日 9 11月 2026, kick-off 19:00 GMT+0100 at Kristiansund Stadion in Kristiansand. Marius Lien is the referee.
Kristiansund BK are 15th in the table with 23 points from 25 games (6-5-14), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points. Valerenga have a 9-point advantage. At home Kristiansund BK have won 4 of 12; Valerenga have won 3 of 12 on the road.
Kristiansund BK have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Valerenga have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-W-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Kristiansund BK have won 2, Valerenga 4, with 0 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in 5月 2026, finished Valerenga 3-1 Kristiansund BK.
Kristiansund BK average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. Valerenga average 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: L. Alvheim leads Kristiansund BK's scoring with 12 goals; L. Haren leads Valerenga's scoring with 11 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make Valerenga the favourites: Kristiansund BK 2.75, draw 4.10, Valerenga 2.15 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36 and under at 3.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.36, no 3.00.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.7 goals a game.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -22 | 23 |
Season stats
| Kristiansund BK | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 25 | 25 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 5 / 14 | 9 / 5 / 11 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 29 (1.2) | 43 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 51 (2.0) | 46 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 6-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- L. Alvheim 12 goals · 0 assists
- L. Haren 11 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 9 11月 2026, 16:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.96 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 94/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK win | 29.3% | 39.9% | 2.35 | -31.1% |
| Draw | 21.9% | 23.4% | 4.00 | -12.5% |
| Valerenga win | 48.8% | 36.7% | 2.55 | +24.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 51.2% | 63.3% | 1.50 | -23.2% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 70.7% | 60.1% | 1.57 | +10.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.8% | 86.4% | 1.10 | -5.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% | 69.5% | 1.36 | -9.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.1% | 30.5% | 3.10 | +2.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54.9% | 50.0% | 1.83 | +0.4% |
| Both teams to score | 66.4% | 68.8% | 1.36 | -9.7% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 9 11月 2026, 16:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.7 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Kristiansund BK
LLLDW
1.8 scored · 2.8 conceded per game
Valerenga
DLWWW
2.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Kristiansund BK wins 0 draws 4 Valerenga wins last 6 meetings
- Valerenga3 - 1Kristiansund BK Eliteserien
- Valerenga3 - 0Kristiansund BK Eliteserien
- Kristiansund BK0 - 2Valerenga Eliteserien
- Valerenga0 - 2Kristiansund BK Eliteserien
- Kristiansund BK0 - 2Valerenga Eliteserien
- Kristiansund BK3 - 2Valerenga Eliteserien
Statistics: API-Football · updated 9 11月 2026, 12:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
